Scenarios and models are important tools for understanding how the multiple contributions of nature to people (NCP) might unfold in the future. Scenarios that are adverse for biodiversity and ecosystem function are likely to be adverse for NCP because of known links between biodiversity, ecosystem function and the material, regulating and non-material benefits to humans (Mace et al., 2012). Nonetheless, there is still a lack of robust knowledge and quantitave estimates of these relationships, and thus how they might impact future changes in NCP.