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APC_5_Executive summary_a_373;374

There is variation in the coverage, distribution and relative influence of different drivers on the human nature interactions across the Asia-Pacific region (established but incomplete) {5.3.2.1} (Figure 5.17). Most studies on influence of drivers focus on social and economic drivers, but lack integration of ecological drivers, such as the invasive alien species or new breeds of species, which underpin existing research gaps {5.1.3, 5.2.1}. In Oceania and North-East Asia, economic and policy drivers are somewhat less integrated, in South and South-East Asia, economic drivers, particularly changing lifestyles and consumption patterns, expansion of biofuels, and governance reforms were found to have strong influence {5.3.2.2, 5.3.3.3}. Similarly, climate change-related drivers such as sea level rise and rise in sea surface temperature have been relatively well captured in Oceania including Pacific islands compared to other subregions, in part because of the well-known climate vulnerability of small islands and low lying coastal areas in the Pacific {5.2.3}. However, most studies significantly focus on social and economic drivers, but lack incorporation of ecological drivers, such as possible introduction of invasive species or new crop or animal breeds, which underpin existing research gaps {5.2.1, 5.2.2, 5.2.3}. Scenario archetypes depicting plausible futures under Business As Usual conditions, which are predominantly influenced by Market Forces, or scenarios with increased focus on national-level securities, all present narratives that show declines in both BES and human well-being across the Asia-Pacific region {5.2.1, 5.2.2, 5.2.3}.

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