Scenario Development and Scenario Planning
Scenario approaches range from highly exploratory to decision-oriented and from intuitive (e.g. visionary) to analytical (e.g. rational). They vary in the degree of complexity.
All approaches involve: selecting a scenario approach, developing storylines based on available data, identifying uncertainties and drivers of change and discussing scenario outcomes. It is an effective tool to analyze potential changes in an ecosystem.
Scenarios are developed for thinking about the future and longer-term planning - especially useful when considering the links between ecosystem services and development.